Microsoft's Cortana Could Be The New Paul the Octopus in World Cup Predictions
Jul 03, 2014 11:15
Microsoft's digital assistant - Cortana - has successfully predicted the outcome of every match of this World Cup elimination round. Is she the new Paul the Octopus?
The psychic sea creature who died in 2010, became a worldwide sensation when it predicted the winning team in eight of the 2010 tournament's matches. Cortana on the other hand, has correctly called the final results of all eight matches played in the tournament's elimination round.
Cortana relies on Microsoft's Bing search engine to power its predictions. They explain how it comes up with its World Cup predictions in their blog post last month:
For the tournament, our models evaluate the strength of each team through a variety of factors such as previous win/loss/tie record in qualification matches and other international competitions and margin of victory in these contests, adjusted for location since home field advantage is a known bias. Further adjustments are made related to other factors which give one team advantages over another, such as home field (for Brazil) or proximity (South American teams), playing surface (hybrid grass), game-time weather conditions, and other such factors. In addition, data obtained from prediction markets allows us to tune the win/lose/tie probabilities due to the ‘wisdom of the crowds’ phenomenon captured by the people wagering on the outcomes.
So who will win in the next four matches? Cortana predicts Brazil defeating Columbia, Germany beating France, and Argentina beating Belgium and the Netherlands beating Costa Rica.
For business owners and major corporations alike, one of the biggest concerns in moving product and making sales has always been visibility. In order to convince people to pay for your service of purchase your product, you must first make a positive impression on potential customers. Read more
Three-dimensional printing technology is maturing rapidly, and it’s transforming prototyping in the process. The global 3-D printing market will expand at a compound annual growth rate of 15.4 percent between 2016 and 2022, Wise Guy Reports projects. Prototyping will drive the largest share of this growth, with healthcare applications such as 3-D-printed knee and hip joints experiencing the highest growth rate. Read more
In August 2014, the shooting of Michael Brown led to many protests that focused on the emerging problem of police violence. For anyone that wasn’t at the scene, it can be easy to get the wrong idea on the entire situation and it’s often difficult to discern who exactly was in the wrong. Read more